The Dunning Krunger effect is a Morocco Phone Number List bias that causes those less skilled in a field to overestimate themselves. Experience has shown that it particularly affects Westerners. Instead, this is what this effect looks like: Dunning Kruger effect curve This cognitive bias of which we are all victims is particularly dangerous when we are immersed in “illusory superiority” because at that moment: we are confident in our skill level, yet low we do not suspect the extent of our incompetence we remain unable to recognize the competence of our more qualified peers These side effects are all the more damaging because – unless

there is an intellectual slap (beware of cognitive dissonance!) Or a formidable effort against ourselves – they tend to keep us in our unfounded certainties: we are ‘Informed on the surface, we consider ourselves legitimate, we have no doubts, we stop being informed, we no longer gain in competence. Applications of the overconfidence effect The problem of incompetence is not really one in the Dunning Kruger effect because after all, I will not risk to blame the various editorial writers, the multiple tweeters or other politicians for their lack of competence in such a specialized field. than that of epidemiology (for example). No, the

The Dunning Kruger Effect

problem with this cognitive bias is that of too much confidence; the Dunning Kruger effect is also called the overconfidence effect. Now add to this the need to limit your thinking to 280 characters, or to an editorial no longer than a Vine and you will obtain the result that we see too often: a multitude of peremptory opinions; so peremptory that they can only contain a certain truth no ..? Thereby,the more experts there are, the less we understand. In your business and ours at ISLEAN, we owe it to ourselves to be aware of these effects and to combat them, all the more so as the obsolescence of skills is accelerating on the labor market; we

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will therefore be more and more often confronted with the need to gain skills in new fields. The consulting profession is also a good illustration of the risks mentioned above: our missions lead us to very regularly address new issues, new professions and thanks to our consulting posture, it would be easy to give in to the imperative of express quickly an assured opinion free from doubt. To fight against this cognitive bias that permeates us all, we have recourse to methods and tools that are not only the prerogative of consultants: active listening andknowledge of these cognitive biases in particular. Make room for doubt! We have just

Applications Of The Overconfidence Effect

seen some avenues to fight against your own overconfidence effect (share other ideas for avenues in the comments!). But how do you not succumb to that of others? How to guard against the rise of self-proclaimed experts whose arguments sometimes border on esotericism or conspiracy? The task is all the more difficult as we are sometimes in a hurry to form an opinion in areas where our level of competence is desperately low (epidemiology for example?). It is then a matter of sorting out the cacophony of divergent opinions among an orchestra of more or less expert experts. We therefore often come to believe rather than think,

to oppose and weigh arguments, to fact check. Yet the alternative to the lack of competence / information on a subject is not necessarily belief : nothing forces us to believe when we can doubt, remain skeptical, affirm that we do not know … until then. we know .Basic statistical analyzes to test the correlation between the gender of the ruler and the mortality statistics Here is the table (extract) that we used in the end after the data was cleaned: Covid-19 data table cleaned up Our Covid-19 data by country, cleaned and ready for analysis Third (after the second: cleaning the data): exploring the data. We only have complete data for

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